Posts Tagged ‘football wagering’

Ravens Seek to Soar above AFC North in NFL Preseason Probabilities

Jul 29th, 10 / 0 Comments

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are appealing football wagering commodities, though current NFL preseason probabilities are favoring the Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC North Division.



NFL preseason probabilities could like the Baltimore Ravens as they appear to be 1 of the most complete squads in the NFL while Pittsburgh has had lots of football betting intangibles go against them.

The Steelers learned only how difficult it’s to do it again as Super Bowl champs since they had to rally to finish 9-7 after a terrible mid season slump. With only 5 matches covered against the spread, the Steelers were a classic overlay a year ago.

Both sides of the line were sporadic and there was an evident lack of polish and edge to the team compared to only 1 season prior. The off season was even more difficult for the Steelers as quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was accused of sexual assault for the second consecutive year and will serve a six game suspension to begin the 2010 season. He also won’t be permitted back in until he has completed a league-mandated “professional behavior evaluation” and has gotten the go-ahead from the results of that.

Cincinnati ended 10-6 straight up although they covered only 7 matches, so they were something of a surprise champion in the AFC North Division a year ago in football gambling wagers. The Cincinnati Bengals won with a strong defense and ground attack as quarterback Carson Palmer was sporadic and faded horribly down the stretch.

Since they essentially limped in as the beneficiary of an uncommon down year in their division, it was no accident or surprise to see the Cincinnati Bengals go down to the Jets in the playoffs.

The Cincinnati Bengals will fight to overtake the Baltimore Ravens and even the Steelers if Pittsburgh can get back their concentration which is why Cincinnati is not a popular choice with the NFL preseason probabilities.

The Ravens are packed on both sides of the line with a punishing defense and versatile offense. Joe Flacco is still regarded as to be 1 of the best, although he wasn’t as fantastic in his second year as quarterback after a remarkable rookie season, and he will have more weapons to assist him than was the case in 2009.

The Ravens have made the playoffs in consecutive seasons and have the self-confidence of an emerging power team under coach John Harbaugh. After the Ravens’ 1st choice, Dallas Cowboys offensive coordinator Jason Garrett, turned them down, they hired him in January of 2008. Because most of Harbaugh’s experience in coaching has been as a Special Teams Coach with just a year as a Defensive Backs coach with the Eagles, it was a leap of faith on the part of Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti.

The Cleveland Browns won only 5 games but did cover 10 games with the football probabilities a year ago. Cleveland is rebuilding with new quarterback Jake Delhomme and new team president Mike Holmgren. While the post season is unlikely they could improve upon a year ago and continue to offer great board value.


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Football

Plenty of Potential Surprises for 2010 in NFL Preseason Odds

Jul 29th, 10 / 0 Comments

NFL preseason odds are now out and there are plenty of possible surprises both positive and bad for football betting oddsmakers to try and take advantage of for 2010 when you bet on the NFL.



Since that is the direction that the football betting public tends to go, NFL preseason odds will highlight gambling odds that are based in huge part on last year’s results.

A solid way to evaluate the pre season and gambling odds board is to take a look at last year’s surprise teams, both positive and bad, and expect something akin to a stock market correction for 2010.

A great example of this would be the New York Jets, who were provided no chance to contend in 2009 since they were reconstructing with a new coach and rookie quarterback and yet they made it to the AFC championship game and close to won it.

Now that the Jets are being regarded as a leading contender at the sportsbook to win the Super Bowl their board value will be depleted. Beyond that, their foes will take them seriously this year which means that there will be less of a surprise and upset element. Bettors might want to avoid going “all in” with the Jets.

Two teams that were very regarded in 2009 that went down were the Chicago Bears and New York Giants. The fact that they didn’t live up to expectations a year ago means that the public will be off of them for the most part, at least early on, and that can mean enhanced board value.

The Giants are still a dangerous team with Eli Manning at quarterback and did some great re-tooling in the off season, specifically on defense. The Bears have new coordinators on both sides of the line and Jay Cutler should be less error-prone in his second year as signal caller. Before being traded to the Bears in 2009, Cutler spent his first 3 seasons in pro football with the broncos. He was signed to a two-year contract worth $30 million. He was the subject of both praise and criticism during his first season with the Bears, but was starting to shape up by the end of the season. It is still to be seen if he gets into a groove with the team and improves their odds at the sports books.

The San Diego Chargers have failed to live up to expectations as a championship team although they’ve had the great fortune with the football odds to be in the dreadful AFC West. San Diego is once more favorite to win the division but might prove to be an overlay as Kansas City has gotten better and Denver was in the competition for most of a year ago.

The Cincinnati Bengals rallied to make the playoffs and win the AFC North for the first time in 5 years. But the Cincinnati Bengals still have problems at quarterback and their division competitors from Baltimore are much better which means that the Cincinnati Bengals might go back down as an overvalued stock with the NFL preseason odds for 2010.


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Football

Seattle Seahawks Commence Carroll-ing

Jul 17th, 10 / 0 Comments

In their first season under fresh head coach Pete Carroll, NFL preseason odds is not going to favor the Seattle Seahawks for much NFL gambling success.



NFL preseason odds in live football odds figure to have the Seahawks posted as a cellar dweller in the NFC West Division but Carroll has brought a fresh attitude that may help Seattle’s NFL football picks.

Carroll was the long time successful head coach in the college football scene with the Southern Cal Trojans. Before that he was up and down and right about the .500 mark following two NFL head coaching jobs with the Jets and Patriots.

Despite a significant amount of success at USC that included routine BCS bowl games and national championships Carroll wanted another crack at the NFL and finds himself taking on a Seattle squad that many people feel has nowhere to go but up after last year’s 5-11 straight up track record.

Seattle ended third in the NFC West behind Arizona and San Francisco and went 6-10 versus the spread.

Who will be the Seahawks starting quarterback for 2010? That’s one of the first huge questions going into Camp Carroll. While normal starter Matt Hasselbeck could be posted number one on the depth chart there’s no guarantee he will stay there come opening day. He is 35 years old and has been regularly injured over the past few seasons. In 2009 Hasselbeck was out because of a sore shoulder, and in 2008 he missed time because of a bulging disk.

On the other hand, ever since he became the starter in 2003, Hasselback has headed Seattle to 5 playoff appearances, as well as a Super Bowl appearance. He has also been picked 3 times for the Pro Bowl. He was formerly a sixth round pick in the 1998 NFL Draft, prior to being traded to Seattle in 2001. He made a powerful finish in 2002, almost immediately proved to be valuable. He started all 16 games in 2003 for the Seahawks, delivering them their first 10-6 track record since 1988 and a wildcard berth. At the end of the 2009 season, in spite of his injuries, he was given the Seahawks esteemed “Steve Largent Award”.

When he acquired 3rd string quarterback Charlie Whitehurst from the San Diego Chargers, Pete Carroll gained the attention of football betting handicappers in the off season.

Carroll defended the decision saying, “We’re all about competition. Charlie has tremendous talent and upside and we are very excited to watch him develop and help our football team.” Under Carroll, nevertheless, Hasselbeck has had an fantastic spring camp which some feel has only made his grasp on the top job more firm. JP Losman, the number two man, outplayed Whitehurst and also had a powerful spring camp.

Seattle has been out of sorts with only 9 straight up wins over the previous two seasons and changed to Carroll after only one season under Jim Mora, Jr. Seattle rated only 25th in offensive scoring and 26th in defensive points granted, making for a significant mess for Carroll to clean up in his first year on the job.


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Football

NFL Preseason Probabilities – St Louis Rams Have No Place to Move but Up

Jul 17th, 10 / 0 Comments

NFL betting at sbg will have the St Louis Rams as one of the long shot NFL wagering options to make the Super Bowl this season after a 1-15 straight up mark last year.



However with such low potential the St Louis Rams may turn into a solid NFL wagering board value, which NFL preseason odds oddsmakers at the sportsbook may also want to take into account.

Actually, even with that 1-15 mark, the St Louis Rams went 7-9 versus the spread last year and got the cash in 5 out of their last 9 matches of 2009. It was a typical illustration of how even the saddest team in the league can bring outstanding board value as the season moves on based on public belief.

Because the odds makers will improve their price in order to attract a hesitant public into making wagers with them, the more the general wagering public opposes a team, the more value they will frequently bring. Those added points made available frequently turn out to be the difference between a pay off and a loss.

The Rams will commence a new era in 2010 with rookie quarterback Sam Bradford, who was the 1st in total pick in the draft last spring out of Oklahoma, where he missed almost all of last season due to the fact of an injury in the 1st game of the season. In 2008, he was the Heisman Trophy victor for the Sooners. He also holds the NCAA track record for touchdown passes by a freshman, with 36. Bradford made a good impact at the Rams’ rookie minicamp in late April and early May.

Given that they finished 29th in total in total offense and a dead last 32nd in the NFL for scoring, the St Louis Rams can definitely use Bradford.

“I’m excited about this year,” Bradford said. “This being my rookie season, that’s all I’m focused on right now, trying to learn as much as possible as soon as possible and helping my team win.” Head coach Steve Spagnuolo will be trying to put a winning combination together proceeding into his 2nd year as coach. Leading a franchise that is for sale and cutting costs is only part of the football betting handicap he’s dealing with. It’s also his 1st head coaching job. He was earlier a linebackers and defensive backs coach for the Philadelphia Eagles, before being chosen as the defensive coordinator for the Giants. He spent 2 years with the New York Giants and was the builder of the aggressive defensive strategy vs the New York Patriots in the Super Bowl in the 2007 season. It was a serious upset victory for the Giants.

The instability has been a serious challenge to try and triumph over as the St Louis Rams are often rumored to be potentially relocating out of St Louis, where they’re in need of a new stadium.

Bradford is the one major exception to the fact that the St Louis Rams have signed 8 out of their 11 draft picks. It’s been said that Bradford is seeking a signing bonus of between $45 and $50 million.

The St Louis Rams will kick off preseason play on August 14 at home versus the Minnesota Vikings.


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Football

Arizona Has to Succeed against NFL Preseason Probabilities

Jun 25th, 10 / 0 Comments

There might not be an NFL team that must win more versus the NFL preseason odds at the online sportsbook in 2010 than the Arizona Cardinals.

You may need a program to keep track, since the Arizona Cardinals have undergone several changes. Arizona needs to win in NFL preseason wagering to gain confidence going into the normal season.

NFL preseason odds will likely prefer the Arizona Cardinals in 2 of their four preseason games. They should be favored in the game when they host the Houston Texans on August 14. They’ll likely be underdogs at Tennessee on August 23rd and also at Chicago on August 28th. Their final preseason game has them at home vs Washington where they ought to be favored.

The Arizona Cardinals have undergone a lot of alterations. Quarterback Kurt Warner retired so it’s up to Matt Leinart to lead the Arizona Cardinals this season. Leinart has never established he can be a good starting quarterback so this is a critical preseason for him. The Arizona Cardinals don’t have wide receiver Anquan Boldin, linebacker Karlos Dansby or safety Antrel Rolle so they are going to be in pain. Whether or not they’ve got competitors to step up or not is a substantial question mark.

Leinart is entering his fifth NFL season and not many individuals believe he can win in the NFL. He has had lots of chances previously to win the starting quarterback job but has not done so. Now it’s his by default, at least for the present time. The Arizona Cardinals do have a potent receiving corps led by Larry Fitzgerald but they are going to miss Boldin. They will have to hope that Steve Breaston and Early Doucet can fill in. Not having Warner as the leader though is a big problem. With Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower, the Arizona Cardinals could end up racing the ball considerably more this season. How Arizona plays in NFL preseason gambling could be a sign of how well they’ll do in the normal season.

Arizona guard Deuce Lutui agreed upon his one-year qualifying offer from the Cardinals on Monday. He has started every game for the past 2 seasons and is now entering his fifth season.

Ken Whisenhunt is a very good coach but he has his work cut out for him this season. He must discover if Leinart can get the job done which is why results versus NFL preseason odds is so important to Arizona.

The Cardinals have agreed upon a three-year contract extension with Northern Arizona University that will keep the team’s training camp on the school’s campus through 2012. They have been training at the 7,000 foot elevation of Flagstaff since the franchise switched to Arizona in 1988. It helps to avoid the temperature that is more typical in locations like Phoenix.

In related news Pat Tillman, who famously quit a career with the Arizona Cardinals to enlist in the Army in 2002, will be receiving a scholarship in his honor through the NFL. He was killed while serving in Afghanistan in 2004. The NFL will at present be financing a scholarship offered to veteran and active service members, as well as their dependents and survivors.


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