Posts Tagged ‘NFL probabilities’

Sunday Evening Football Betting – Detroit Lions vs Dolphins

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As the 2010 Football regular season wraps up, Week 17 puts the Detroit Lions on the road to Miami to battle against the Dolphins the day after Christmas. Or, as they call it in Canada, Boxing Day. The Detroit Lions rest at the bottom of the NFC North with a 4-10-0 record this season going into Sundays matchup. The Dolphins are 3rd in their division, with a 7-7-0 record that puts them in a tender place in the AFC East.



The Detroit Lions in fact appear like the greater choice in this match. They smashed their long road losing streak this past week by successful at Tampa Bay and they may be able to make it two back to back at Miami. The Dolphins have had trouble all season at home and there’s no reason to believe they’ll play hard. Sadly for the Dolphins, they lost to the worst squad in football last weekend…the Buffalo Bills. How could this have happened? They Dolphins have been humiliating this season, and presently own the NFL’s worst home record at 1-6. Maybe this has something to do with a below afterage offense, but one would believe that their leading 5 defense would have evened things out. The resurgent Bills showed Sunday just just how much they’re improved since the start of the season, and the Dolphins again looked lousy at home. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two td passes and Buffalo won 17-14, eliminating Miami from the AFC playoff race. Wagering Tip: take note when wagering on the Dolphins, some wager makers are putting their cash on one last home win for Miami this season, although this prior loss to the Bills means they’ll not be making it into the playoffs this season.

In recent Detroit Lions news, their quarterback, Drew Stanton, has endured a Grade 3 separation of the AC Joint in his left shoulder in the course of the second quarter of the Lions’ 23-20 win over the Buccaneers. But in excellent Detroit Lions news, they’ve got finally beat the road losing streak! This was the first road win since 2007! The Detroit Lions, now suddenly, are playing with confidence and a little bit strut (they are not “punks” anymore, says Raiola). The Detroit Lions may have just four victories straight up but they’ve got been golden versus the spread going 10-4. The squad is nearly always aggressive plus they are nearly always receiving points. Drew Stanton has been workable at quarterback and Detroit’s defense can make performs. They definitely are not overmatched in this match versus Miami. The Dolphins and Vikings had bigger hopes than playing out the string, so it is fairly easy to imagine that the Detroit Lions will have more on the line in both games. And it’s not hard to imagine that the Detroit Lions could finish the season on a four-game successful streak. The last time the Detroit Lions won four back to back was 1999.
Online Sportsbook posts the Dolphins as the minus 3.5 point home favorites to win this Holiday weekend, with the total over under posted at 41.


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NFL Betting Page – Washington Redskins at Jaguars

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The Jacksonville jaguars are liked by practically a touchdown at pro football gambling web site as they host the Washington Redskins.



The Washington Redskins are arriving from a close loss but a cover a week ago vs Dallas whereas Jacksonville lost and failed to cover in Nfl gambling in their biggest game of the season at Indianapolis. Jacksonville is a 6.5 point favorite at the sports book.

Jaguars Blow their Chance – The Jaguars may have won the AFC South and clinched a playoff berth a week ago but they couldn’t get the win at Indianapolis. Now the Jaguars do not control their own fate and need aid to make the playoffs. Even if the Jaguars win their last 2 games they need the Colts to lose one of their games or some serious aid in the Wild Card contest. It does not look encouraging. The Colts have the Raiders and the Titans and if they win those 2 games they are going to win the division and the Jaguars will likely be out. 10 victories is probably not going to get it carried out in the AFC for a Wild Card location. It’s the fourth time in the last seven years the Jaguars have lost charge of their playoff fate late in the season. They were 8-6 in 2004 when a Week 17 loss to Houston cost the Jaguars a playoff location. In 2006, they were 8-5 and lost their last 3. Last season, they were 7-5 and lost their last four. The Jaguars, though, are still alive in the playoff hunt. The clearest circumstance is if the Colts lose one of their last 2 – at Oakland on Sunday or at home vs Tennessee on Jan. two – and the Jaguars beat Washington at home Sunday and win their finale in Houston on Jan. two. Furthermore in Jaguars news, it looks like qb David Garrard was acting difficult and didn’t let on to the intensity of his finger injury in the course of last week’s loss against the Colts.

Washington Redskins Greater with Grossman – Washington head coach Mike Shanahan took plenty of grief for benching Donovan McNabb and picking Rex Grossman at qb but there was no denying that Washington was much greater offensively with Grossman under center. He threw four touchdown passes and the Washington Redskins in fact looked like an Nfl offense. Grossman did plenty of things that McNabb was not doing and the Washington Redskins moved the ball and obtained points. The players additionally liked the transform as tight end Chris Cooley claimed the offense at last had a rhythm whereas center Casey Rabach claimed Grossman produced a real energy. Santana Moss claimed the offense was “light years” from where they were. It sure sounds like an indictment of McNabb to me. And the Washington Redskins ought to score points again this week vs a rotten Jacksonville defense that is gaining torched through the air each week.

Series History – These teams have met four times in history and Washington has won and covered 3 of the four in Nfl gambling. The Washington Redskins won 36-30 at home in 2006 in the last meeting between the 2 teams. Washington covered the spread at pro football gambling web site in that match and the game rose over the total.


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Thursday Evening Football Betting – Carolina Panthers against Pittsburgh steelers

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Week 17 of the 2010 Nfl regular season puts the Carolina Panthers on the road to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers. It’s the bottom of the National Football Conference South against the top of the AFC North. The Steelers are holding tight to their 10-4-0 record as the regular season rapidly comes to a near and the playoff nerves are about to kick in. The Carolina Panthers on the flip side do not have an excessive amount of to lose with their 2-12-0 record coming into this Thursday night’s competition.




Sportsbook lists the Steelers as the minus 14 point favorites to win at home this week, with the total over under at 37. In recent Steelers news, it is looking excellent that they’re going to have tight end Heath Miller back on the field this Thursday. Miller, injured Dec. 5 in Baltimore, was expected to return for Sunday’s competition versus the Jets, but made post-concussion headaches and was presented out. His replacement, Matt Spaeth, caught a touchdown pass during Pittsburgh’s 22-17 loss. Miller was wounded on a helmet hit by the Ravens’ Jameel McClain, who was fined $40,000 by pro football. Defensive end Aaron Smith (torn triceps) is being fitted with a shoulder brace so he can resume practicing, even though coach Mike Tomlin did not say Monday when that may be. The Steelers practice just one time this week. Smith hasn’t performed since being wounded Oct. 24 in Miami.

As for the Carolina Panthers, they’re arriving from one of just 2 wins this season, last weekend against the Cardinals. Carolina is the worst squad in pro football at 2-12 but they did get their 2nd win of the season this past week at home versus Arizona. There isn’t much to like about Carolina but perhaps their defense can keep this game respectable and that is all it will take to cover the spread. The Carolina Panthers do have a defense that is close to the top 10 in the league so they’re capable of keeping the score down. The issue for Carolina is that they have a lousy offense. Jimmy Clausen isn’t a quality Nfl qb and even in last week’s win nearly all of the scoring came from kicker John Kasay. The Carolina Panthers do have Jonathan Stewart who can run the ball efficiently but racing versus the Steelers will not be simple. Carolina Panthers noted the end of a seven-game losing streak with a hard-to-watch, but quite gratifying 19-12 win over the punchless Cardinals. With only 218 total yards, the Cardinals struggled to move the ball the whole competition. But Larry Fitzgerald managed to have his best day of the year as the receiver, he went over the century mark for just the 2nd time this season. The Carolina Panthers could be on a winning high at the time, but even so it’s definitely not destined to be enough to take on the most difficult defense they’ve got yet to confront this season.


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Sunday Night Football Wagering Matchup – Jacksonville jaguars vs Colts

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In a game for the top rank of the AFC South conference as the playoffs swiftly approach, the 2nd place Indianapolis colts (7-6-0) sponsor first place Jacksonville jaguars (8-5-0). The Jacksonville Jaguars travel up to the middle of Indiana on December 19th to play the Indianapolis colts with star quarterback Peyton Manning. The Jacksonville squad enters this match as the AFC South division leaders, whilst the Colts are anxiously looking to keep their playoff dreams from dying.




The most important competition in the AFC South this year is on Sunday with the Indianapolis colts favored in Football probabilities against the Jacksonville jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars shown in their game with the Raiders that it is a squad can close a match and do it with style. They could utilize the same double headed attack in the Indiana competition as they did throughout the competition with the Raiders. Maurice Jones-Drew concluded the competition with a profitable touchdown run with — remember this? — just one and a half minutes on the clock. With performances like that, it’s no surprise the Jacksonville Jaguars are favorites at our internet sports book!

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense got the greatest of Colts Qb Peyton Manning in the first competition of the year, so it is more than likely that Payton has discovered a couple of lessons since his beat in that competition. The Jacksonville team’s defensive line is formidable against the run but Indianapolis won’t put on much of a running game.

In reality, the Colts offense has little running game in any way. Thankfully, the weakness of this Jacksonville jaguars squad is defending against a formidable passing competition, and as they are permitting an average of 260 yards per competition passing, it is conceivable that they may allow up 350 yards to the Colts.

All through the year, the Indianapolis colts have been troubled with the loss of Dallas Clark and Joseph Addai. As a result of these losses, the Colts have tallied 6 losses by Manning and his squad mates. Manning does not have much faith in any way in the younger receivers, and Austin Collie and Anthony Gonzalez being injured have pressured Manning to work with receivers who ordinarily would not even make the practice team. Send these receivers back to high school junior varsity! Fortunately, due to their formidable passing competition, if little else, the Indianapolis colts have a minor advantage over the Jacksonville Jaguars this week.

The Colts have won 7 of the last 10 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Earlier this year they did tumble 31-28 in Jacksonville. That smashed a three-game losing streak for the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Colts. Last year when the squad met at Indianapolis it were the Colts profitable 14-12 despite the fact that they did not cover the spread? The last 2 games in this series have gone over the total and five of the last 6 in total have gone over pro football probabilities when the Jacksonville Jaguars and Colts get together. Contemplating that neither of these teams has competed much defense a short while ago the over ought to get some action on Sunday at the internet sportsbook.

Be sure to get your football wager in on this incredibly exciting game!


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NFL Lines – Arizona Cardinals versus Carolina Panthers

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The Cardinals are in route to Carolina for a rematch of 2008 playoff match. Too bad this year it is the 4-9 Cardinals against the 1-12 Carolina Panthers.



When was the last time you saw a 1-11 team favored in NFL prospects? It might have happened in NFL history but it is something you almost never see. The Carolina Panthers are 1-11 on the year but they are setting almost a field goal at home in NFL gambling lines versus the Cardinals.

Carolina Panthers -2.5, total 38 at the sports book – This is definitely one of the uglier games of the NFL year. The Cardinals are 4-9 but they’ve got a rookie going at qb in John Skelton. He might be a lot better than the Carolina Panthers rookie though. Jimmy Clausen has been terrible this year for the Carolina Panthers and motivates confidence. The question to ask is why the Carolina Panthers are favored. Carolina is on track for the first pick in next season’s NFL Draft so in reality they would be greater off not winning this match. You cannot tell that to the competitors though.

Running to Win – The Carolina Panthers have a good running attack with Jonathan Stewart and Mike Goodson so they’re likely to have accomplishment in this match versus Arizona’s terrible run defense. Carolina’s run defense is terrible also so Arizona should manage to move the ball on the ground with Tim Hightower and Beanie Wells.

Arizona Trends – The Cardinals do not have several good trends in their prefer so maybe that is why Carolina is favored. The Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games as an long shot. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Cardinals are 1-5 versus the NFL gambling lines in their last 6 against. the National Football Conference. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five matches at Carolina and the long shot in this series is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 matches.

Carolina Trends – The Carolina Panthers do not have several good figures either but at least they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in December. The Carolina Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their past eight games as a home favorite. The Carolina Panthers are 0-5 versus the NFL prospects in their last five against the National Football Conference.
Total Trends – The Over is 42-16 in the Cardinals last 58 games as a road long shot. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Carolina Panthers last five games in total. The Under is 20-6 in the Carolina Panthers last 26 games as a home favorite.


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NFL Gambling – Packers at Patriots on NBC

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The New england patriots are favored in Football betting on Sunday evening as they sponsor the Packers. Football football wagering concerns are increasing for the playoff prospects of the Packers following their devastating Football betting matchup at Detroit this past week.



The New England Patriots are viewed as the greatest team in football and they’re simply unbeatable at home with Tom Brady at quarterback. Bettors at the online sportsbook are making an Football wager on New England in this match and it does not matter how high the number goes. Football football wagering expectations are looking “Super” for the New england patriots as they’re the most outstanding team on football betting board in December.

The New england patriots will sponsor the Packers on NBC Sunday Night NFL with a starting time of 8:thirty PM ET. The sportsbook will have the side and total for this potential Super Bowl preview so be sure and open your account to be set for every one of the competition.

New England Patriots Looking Unbeatable – There is no team in football that seems much better than New England right now. Qb Tom Brady is a leading prospect for the MVP and the New England Patriots lead the NFL in points scored. Their defense is furthermore competing well and it all is clicking for New England. They’ve got won 5 consecutive and not turned the ball over in each win while taking it away 13 times on defense. All the achievement is not going to their head either as head coach Bill Belichick does not allow it. Brady has won an Football record 26 consecutive games at home. He has thrown 19 touchdown passes with no picks in his last eight games. Some individuals thought the New England Patriots would miss Randy Moss but they’re even superior without him. Deion Branch has stepped in and the New England Patriots haven’t missed a beat.

Green Bay Packers in danger – Earlier this year the Green Bay Packers were viewed as Super Bowl contenders but if they lose this match and the Bears win at Minnesota on Monday evening then Green Bay would need to trust for a Wild Card location since the Bears would secure the Central. Things are so bad for Green Bay right now that they do not even know if starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers will play. He suffered a concussion this past week against Detroit and the Green Bay Packers were helpless following he left. The Green Bay Packers aren’t expected to make a decision on Rodgers competing in this match until Saturday.

Match Trends – The Green Bay Packers are 5-1 in Football betting in their previous six games in December. The Green Bay Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The New England Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 games overall. In this series, the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. If you are thinking about an Football wager on the total then bear in mind that the Under is 7-0 in the Green Bay Packers last 7 road games but the Over is 6-1 in the New England Patriots last 7 home games.


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Falcons Favored vs Seahawks in Football Gambling Prospects

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The Falcons are liked in Football betting lines at Seattle on Sunday. The Atlanta Falcons have the top record in the National Football Conference at 11-2 plus they are expected to win at Seattle versus a below .500 Seattle Seahawks squad. Pro football lines at the online sports book list Atlanta as a 6-point favorite with a total of 45.



Atlanta Falcons Road Success – Atlanta will be attempting to do something on Sunday that just three teams since 2000 have ever done. Atlanta will be looking to win their 3rd straight road game and it has just happened four times in the last decade. Jacksonville did it in 2001 and in 2005, the Eagles did it in 2005 and the Giants did it in 2009. Atlanta beat Tampa Bay and Carolina and now has to go out west for their 3rd straight road game. The Atlanta Falcons really have focused on successful on the road this year as they’re 5-2. Those 5 wins are already over they had a year ago. Atlanta has displayed they’re able to win out west as they beat San Francisco last year and in 2008 they won at Oakland and San Diego.

Troubled Seattle Seahawks – The Seattle Seahawks are 6-7 but in the lousy National Football Conference West that is great for first place. Seattle is even with the St. Louis Rams at the top of the division. The Seattle Seahawks and Rams are just one game ahead of San Francisco and it might be that the 49ers have the top prospects for successful the division. Seattle isn’t a squad it is possible to have any confidence in. They are next to last in the league on defense and their offense isn’t much greater. Head coach Pete Carroll is finding out that life is difficult in the NFL.

Atlanta Trends – The Atlanta Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Atlanta Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in December. The Atlanta Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite. The Atlanta Falcons are 1-7-2 ATS in their previous 10 games in Week 15.

Seattle Trends – The Seattle Seahawks are 5-2 versus the NFL betting lines in their last 7 home games. The Seattle Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Seattle Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in December. The Seattle Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games as an underdog.


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NFL Football Wagering – Bears against Vikings

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The Vikings sponsor the Bears in Monday evening NFL odds even though the competition will not be at the Metrodome. With the Metrodome in negative shape due to snow the Vikings will play at the University of Minnesota’s TCF Bank Stadium.



NFL football betting handicappers saw the Bears take an startling step back in a blizzard this past week with their NFL betting loss to New England. NFL football betting expectations are still high for the Bears as far as their making the playoffs but they might not be deemed a top NFL betting contender for the Super Bowl.

Minnesota is hoping that Brett Favre can go at quarterback on Monday evening. He missed last week’s competition against the Giants which concluded his straight starts streak at a record 297 games. If Favre cannot go this week then it will probably be third-stringer Joe Webb at quarterback for the Vikings.

The Bears will face the Vikings on ESPN Monday Night Football with a start time of 8:40 PM ET. The sports book will have the odds on both the side and over/under for this National Football Conference North Division matchup so be sure and open your account to be all established for the action. The Bears won the 1st meeting between these teams on November 14 in a 27-13 home payout as the competition fell under the total.

The Bears have a record of 9-4 straight up and 6-6-1 with the football betting lines as they are arriving off a 36-7 home loss to New England yet still lead the National Football Conference North by 1 competition over Green Bay. The Bears offense hasn’t ever really got into gear with new coordinator Mike Martz as the defense has been the foundation of the team and ranks 3rd for points allowed.

Jay Cutler has an 88.3 Qb rating with a 17/12 TD/INT ratio whilst Mike Forte leads the ground attack with 773 yards and a 4.two yards per carry average. Johnny Knox has shown promise as a receiver with 17.6 yards per catch. The Bears have gone under the total 8 times this season.

Minnesota has a record of 5-8 straight up and 4-9 with pro football betting odds whilst going under the total 7 times. The Vikings are arriving off a 21-3 loss to the Giants as Brett Favre might not answer the call and had his straight starting streak at quarterback end 3 games short of 300. Tavaris Jackson performed at Qb and was unsuccessful against the hard Giants defense.

The Vikings were removed from playoff competition with the wipe out and confront questions of who will coach the team for next year as well as who will be the quarterback.

Chicago has gotten the cash in 4 of their last 6 NFL football betting bouts against Minnesota and the series has gone under the total in only 3 of the previous 10 meetings between these two opponents. The Under is 4-1 in the Bears previous 5 road games and the Under is 4-1 in the Vikings previous 5 games in total.


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Atlanta Falcons at the top of the NFC Fight for the 2010 nfl playoffs, Part Two

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By limiting the amount of performs in the game plan, the Atlanta Falcons eliminate the clutter in the minds of their participants, which leads to faster reactions and fewer errors. With hustle and gang tackling usually leading to turnovers, the Falcons’ opportunistic means are not by chance.



Given Smith’s defensive background, the Atlanta Falcons are expected to be a hard-hitting bunch, and their offense meets expectations for the billing. Led by Michael Turner the unit bludgeons foes with a downhill running game that flourishes between the tackles. As a major, physical runner with nimble feet and good power, Turner runs through arm tackles and finishes his runs dropping forward. Though he occasionally flashes big-play ability, it is his hard-nosed, grind-it-out style that drives the offense. With Turner specializing in persistently churning out four- and five-yard runs, the Atlanta Falcons have worn down foes with long drives. They lead the nfl with 30 drives of 10 performs or more and rank second in the nfl in time of possession at 32:57.

With a physical running game setting the tone for the offense, Matt Ryan has started to arise as an MVP competitor. He has become one of the league’s best play-action passers, and his pinpoint accuracy has elevated the passing game. Whereas some would point to his completion ratio (63.5) as a barometer of that accuracy, it is his receivers’ ability to gain chunks of yardage following the catch that indicates Ryan’s exceptional ball placement. By regularly throwing his pass catchers open (the act of leading receivers into open windows by placing the ball at accurate locations), he maximizes the yardage obtainable and makes the offense tricky to slow down.

Roddy White’s emergence as a Pro Bowl receiver has additionally elevated the Atlanta Falcons into the ranks of the elite. As a major, physical receiver with excellent speed and burst, he has become nearly extremely hard to stop in the Falcons’ power offense. Defenses are unable to devote double coverage to him on an every-down basis due to Turner’s presence (eight-man fronts necessary to slow the run), and White has repeatedly took advantage of the single coverage.

In taking a look at a clip from the Falcons’ win over the Cincinnati Bengals, White’s 43-yard td reception illustrates his ability to eliminate one-on-one coverage. The Atlanta Falcons break the huddle with 22 personnel (two running backs, two tight ends and one receiver) on the field in a tight-I formation and White flanked to the right. He started in “Z-in” motion prior to the snap and ran a deep post vs Adam Jones. With the run-heavy formation pressuring the Cincinnati Bengals to drop an extra safety in the box, White is able to focus on Jones without needing to worry about a safety helping over the top. With couple of elite corners displaying that they are able to covering White without safety aid, the Atlanta Falcons can create big performs in the passing game by using the risk of the run with the formation and use of play-action.

Handful of expected the Atlanta Falcons to rule the NFC this year, but following the straightforward directives of playing intelligent, quickly and physical has pushed them to the forefront.


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Sunday Night Football – Packers vs Lions

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The National Football Conference North second ranked Green Bay Packers task the National Football Conference North 4th ranked Lions this weekend in Detroit. The Lions could possibly be lacking cornerback Alphonso Smith, who leads Detroit with 5 interceptions, for what coach Jim Schwartz said could possibly be “long term”. National Football Conference North games can be hard and Aaron Rodgers must deal with qb killer, Ndamukong Suh in this match against the Lions. Suh has instilled fear in every qb he has faced. Even Tom Brady struggled in the first half of his game as attempted to elude Suh and Kyle Vanden Bosch up front.




Football nfl wagering reality has hit the Green Bay Packers in that they must continue to win with the probabilities Football as division major Chicago won’t slow down. The Green Bay Packers are arriving from a 34-16 home pay out over San Francisco as they won and got the money for the 4th time in 5 games. Defense has been the driver for the Green Bay Packers achievement as they rate as the greatest team in pro football for points allowed.

Aaron Rodgers and his depleted Green Bay Packers offense has struggled occasionally this season but they have prevailed in the long run. At 8-4 the Green Bay Packers are just one game behind the astonishing Bears. Rodgers still has a decent arsenal to choose from at wide receiver. Jordy Nelson has been an unanticipated receiver that always makes the crucial catch but Donald Driver and Greg Jennings are still the go to receivers when the game is on the line.

Ndamukong Suh and Kyle Vanden Bosch are the Lions defense this season. On the edges the defense has room for progress but they’re still holding rival quarterbacks to just 223 yards per game. the run defense is additionally a weak location on this Lions defense. They’re yielding over 128 yards per game on the ground. The Green Bay Packers offense has the advantage over the Lions defense.

A third string qb and a third string running back makes for a challenging game for the Lions offense. They’ve got been in games all season regardless of the qb or running back this season however the Green Bay Packers defense is hard. Calvin Johnson is the superstar of this team as one of the best wide receivers in pro football but he cannot do it all for the Lions. The Lions are passing for over 250 yards per game but they cannot break the 100 yards per game average on the ground.

The Green Bay Packers defense is one of the most difficult in pro football and among the most underrated. Clay Mathews is the motor of this defense and when he has an off day it is rough sledding for this team. Mathews is one of the greatest linebackers in pro football and is just as secure blitzing the qb as he is in coverage against a number of the greatest receivers in pro football.

Sportsbook lists the Green Bay Packers as the 7 point road faves this weekend with the total over under at 47.


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